Oil prices rise as concerns about ‘fragile’ cease-fire see Goldman warn of $115 crude by end of the year
Traders wary that traffic through the Strait of Hormuz is still restricted.
Last updated: 2026-04-09 12:03:00 ET
Pulse AI Brief
Updated Apr 9, 2026 11:00 AM ET
Goldman Sachs has issued a stark warning that a natural gas supply shock could emerge with severity comparable to the 1973 oil embargo, potentially creating a "very painful" energy crisis. The bank's analysis points to structural supply constraints and geopolitical risks compounding demand pressures.
A natural gas shock would cascade through utilities, chemicals, fertilizers, and power generation, driving input costs higher across the economy. Inflation expectations would spike; equities would face margin compression. Energy infrastructure stocks and LNG exporters would benefit, while energy-intensive industrials face severe headwinds.
This scenario represents stagflation risk: simultaneous high inflation and weak growth. The Fed would face an impossible choice between supporting growth and fighting price pressures, likely resulting in persistent real rate suppression and currency weakness.
Traders wary that traffic through the Strait of Hormuz is still restricted.
Goldman warns of 'very painful' natural gas shock that could rival oil crisis
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