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Article Market Watch

World’s leading political risk consultant says a collapse in the Strait of Hormuz cease-fire is still a big threat

Market Watch April 20, 2026 · 8:59 am Read Original
Bearish -55.0
−100 Bearish 0 +100 Bullish
World’s leading political risk consultant says a collapse in the Strait of Hormuz cease-fire is still a big threat

Eurasia Group estimates the chances of the cease-fire holding are about 65% but acknowledges that risks of negotiations collapsing are still clear and present, with the positioning of both sides unpredictable.

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Article Info
Source Market Watch
Published Apr 20, 2026 · 8:59 am
Article ID 3unorv1
Original URL Open source
Sentiment Signal
Bearish -55.0
−100Neutral+100
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