Crypto
Blockchain.com seeks U.S. approval for prediction markets, crypto derivatives trading
Blockchain.com is seeking CFTC designation and registration to offer U.S. event contracts and cryptocurrency derivatives.
Name
Prediction
16 stories in the last 7 days, reading neutral overall. The last day ran at 2.2× its usual pace.
- 7-day mood
- +12.3Neutral +12
- Stories, 7 days
- 16
- Last 24 hours
- 42.2× usual
- Sources
- 14in the latest 30
Mood and coverage · last 7 days
Market chart- Prediction · 6-hour average
- Hourly reading
- Stories per hour
View as table
| Day | Mood | Stories |
|---|---|---|
| Fri, Oct 9 | — | 1 |
| Thu, Oct 8 | −6.2 | 4 |
| Wed, Oct 7 | — | 1 |
| Tue, Oct 6 | +36.3 | 2 |
| Mon, Oct 5 | −17.1 | 3 |
| Sun, Oct 4 | — | 0 |
| Sat, Oct 3 | +20.6 | 4 |
| Fri, Oct 2 | — | 0 |
Latest on Prediction
Newest firstFinance
Why prediction market execs could face an existential threat in Supreme Court
"It's now a foregone conclusion that the Supreme Court will rule on this," said one top industry executive.
Finance
NFL urges Supreme Court to decide who should regulate prediction markets
In a legal brief, the NFL expressed support for prior court rulings favoring state authority to oversee prediction markets.
Finance
NFL urges Supreme Court to rule prediction markets are gambling apps
On the first Sunday of the season, football accounted for $1.8 billion in prediction markets trading - more than half the total volume, the football league cla…
Energy
Little relief expected for gas prices ahead of Election Day, according to prediction markets
Gas prices are expected to remain above $4 per gallon on Nov. 3, according to traders on prediction market platform Kalshi.
Crypto
As crypto and prediction markets expand, their regulator shrinks
Even as the agency is tasked with drawing up new rules for crypto and prediction markets, its staffing and enforcement actions have dropped precipitously durin…
Finance
Who will win the 2026 Nobel Prize in economics?
A thinly traded prediction market offers a starting point. We explore potential winners and the big ideas that could earn them economics' biggest prize.
Finance
How event contract bundles are boosting volume on prediction markets
Combo contracts are driving volume growth even as they make up a small, albeit consistent, share of transactions.
Finance
Polymarket overhauls smart contracts with new Protocol V2 rollout
Polymarket begins its Protocol V2 rollout ahead of a planned November transition for new prediction markets, while existing positions remain on the current sys…
Finance
House Democrat targets candidate prediction market trades after opponent's Kalshi penalty
The bill bans federal candidates from trading prediction market contracts related to their own elections and would result in a fine if violated.
Finance
A Prediction Market About the Past? Sure, Why Not!
As prediction markets surge in popularity, a new platform called Verifact Markets is pushing the concept even further, letting users trade on "disputed facts."
Markets
1 Unpopular Stock That Deserves a Second Chance and 2 We Question
Wall Street has issued downbeat forecasts for the stocks in this article. These predictions are rare - financial institutions typically hesitate to say bad t...
Macro
Prediction: Enterprise Products Partners Will Hit 30 Years of Distribution Growth by Year-End 2028.
Enterprise Products Partners is a toll taker in the energy patch, with a 6% yield and plenty of growth opportunities.
Finance
UK urged to act as Polymarket takes bets on whether HSBC and Lloyds will fail
Revelation comes amid mounting concern over online prediction market's effects on integrity of financial systemUK authorities are being urged to intervene afte…
Finance
Why prediction markets might take a bite out of New York's tax revenue
Why prediction markets might take a bite out of New York's tax revenue
Finance
CFTC seeks to define event contracts as swaps amid prediction market fight
The classification could assist the CFTC's claim that it has exclusive federal jurisdiction over event contracts offered on regulated prediction markets.
Macro
Prediction market traders think the U.S. added more jobs in September than economists estimate
The higher-than-consensus expectations are a bet that the U.S. had another strong month of job growth.
MLB playoff predictions: are the Dodgers heading for an inevitable fall?
As the postseason starts with the wildcard round, our writers pick the dark horses, likely winners and the high seeds at risk of going out early. The Mariners.…
Finance
Appeals court rules that states can regulate Kalshi's sports prediction markets, dealing another legal blow to platforms
The decision is the second in less than a month by an appeals court that states have a role in regulating sports-related event contracts.
Finance
Kalshi subject to state gambling laws, appeals court finds - major blow to prediction market giant
A US appeals court ruled Friday that Ohio and Tennessee can regulate Kalshi's so-called event contracts under gambling laws, dealing the prediction market gian…
Finance
Small businesses roll the dice on Kalshi to manage their risks
Hundreds of small businesses are using the prediction market to hedge against a range of business risks, according to Kalshi. Here's how.
Finance
CFTC issues warning over risky prediction market 'mention' contracts
The warning comes weeks after the CFTC fined a former White House teleprompter operator who made more than $107,000 trading prediction contracts tied to Presid…
Finance
CFTC says prediction markets' 'mentions' contracts present a higher risk of manipulation
The announcement comes after reports in August that the agency was conducting an internal review into the event contract type.
Crypto
Trueo prediction market moves from Base to Ethereum
Trueo said Base was the right choice when it launched, as Ethereum gas fees were higher, but said mainnet now offers greater integration potential.
Finance
Native American Tribe Teams Up With Kalshi on New Prediction Market
The Tunica-Biloxi of Louisiana plan to release a platform that uses infrastructure by Kalshi, the industry leader. Other tribes have taken aim at the company.
Finance
LeBron James once raged against the machine. Increasingly, he helps prop it up
LeBron James was once one of the world's most outspoken athletes. Now he's plugging a predictions market and an authoritarian leader. There was a time when LeB…
Finance
Senate is still a tossup, but Democrats now have slight edge, prediction market traders think
Traders on both Kalshi and Polymarket see Democrats with one of their best chances to flip the U.S. Senate since the contracts on the election opened.
Autos
U.S. auto market predictions for 2030: More hybrids, no Chinese entrants
Despite growing speculation that it won't be long until Chinese autos are sold in the U.S., John Murphy doesn't expect that to happen by 2030.
Energy
Prediction market traders think gas prices will hit new highs for the year
Oil prices have marched higher in recent weeks, above $100 per barrel, as tensions between the U.S. and Iran have escalated again.
Finance
Prediction markets are becoming more professionalized, but also harder to beat
The institutionalization of prediction markets threatens to erode the edge of skilled traders who earn off mispricing and market inefficiencies, experts say.
